Amazon share price and momentum signal (NASDAQ: AMZN)

NASDAQ · Consumer Discretionary · Data to 4 Nov 2026

Current signal

Low Signal

5-day average model probability 49.1% · in this band for 6 trading days

Adjusted close $266.03 4 Nov 2026

The probability is the model's estimate that the closing price 34 calendar days later will be above its 150-day exponential moving average. High is 52.5% and above, Moderate from 50.5%. How the signal works.

Price and model probability, last 12 months

Amazon: daily adjusted close and model probability since 4 Nov 202552.5%50.5%0%Model probability (daily)$284.02$198.79Nov 2025Apr 2026Nov 2026
Last 10 trading days as a table
DateAdjusted closeModel probability
4 Nov 2026$266.0384.3%
3 Nov 2026$250.6946.1%
2 Nov 2026$245.6342.7%
30 Oct 2026$240.3535.6%
29 Oct 2026$243.7936.6%
28 Oct 2026$254.6050.4%
27 Oct 2026$253.1048.3%
26 Oct 2026$249.0943.2%
23 Oct 2026$248.0041.5%
22 Oct 2026$250.3846.4%

Key figures

1 month
+5.8%
3 months
-2.4%
6 months
-3.3%
12-month high
$284.02 3 Aug 2026
12-month low
$198.79 13 Feb 2026
From the high
-6.3%

Changes are in adjusted closing price to 4 Nov 2026; the 12-month range covers trading since 4 Nov 2025.

Updates on Amazon

  1. Signal moved from Low to Moderate

    On 21 Oct 2026 the model's 5-day average probability for Amazon rose to 62.0%, above the 60% Moderate threshold, after 5 sessions at Low. It closed at $262.37 that day.

    Reviewed by Ruchika Patel

  2. Signal moved from Moderate to Low

    On 14 Oct 2026 the model's 5-day average probability for Amazon fell to 58.8%, below the 60% Moderate threshold, after 2 sessions at Moderate. It closed at $254.08 that day.

    Reviewed by Ruchika Patel

  3. Signal moved from Low to Moderate

    On 12 Oct 2026 the model's 5-day average probability for Amazon rose to 60.9%, above the 60% Moderate threshold, after 28 sessions at Low. It closed at $259.53 that day.

    Reviewed by Ruchika Patel

Research on Amazon

No research notes on Amazon yet.

Other Consumer Discretionary stocks

All Consumer Discretionary stocks

Questions about Amazon

What is the current PredictivePick momentum signal for Amazon?

As of 4 Nov 2026, Amazon (AMZN) has a Low Signal. Its model probability, averaged over the last 5 trading days, is 49.1%. The signal is High at 52.5% and above, Moderate from 50.5%, and Low below that.

How has the Amazon share price moved recently?

Based on adjusted closing prices to 4 Nov 2026, Amazon has changed +5.8% over one month, -2.4% over three months and -3.3% over six months. Since 4 Nov 2025 it has traded between $198.79 and $284.02.

Which sector is Amazon in?

Amazon is classified under Consumer Discretionary. Other Consumer Discretionary stocks PredictivePick covers include AutoZone, Booking, Carnival, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Darden Restaurants, DoorDash, Expedia Group, Ford Motor Company.

What does the PredictivePick signal for Amazon measure?

It is the model's estimated probability that the stock's closing price 34 calendar days later will be above its 150-day exponential moving average. It is a statistical estimate, not a price target or a recommendation. Signals are model estimates calculated from publicly available market data. They are not investment advice, do not represent actual trading results, and are not claimed to be accurate or complete.

Signals are model estimates calculated from publicly available market data. They are not investment advice, do not represent actual trading results, and are not claimed to be accurate or complete. See the full disclaimer.

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